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Oonagh Reidy

Telstra: Fixed Line Is Broke – Lets Go New

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Something is rotten in the Telstra basket – fixed line phones. And how badly it has gone off it will be fully revealed this week.In accordance with earnings guidance issued last September, the Telco’s profits before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation (EBITDA) looked set to fall by “high single digit percentage” this year, with a free cash flow guidance of between $4.5 billion to $5 billion.

However, this original downgrade now looks set to free fall into low double digit territory, according to analysts at Deutche Bank who predicts Telstra profits for second half of last year will be $4.7bn – a  12.5 per cent drop. 

This massive fall is partly due to its declining phone line business, which thanks to massive mobile and broadband uptake has meant consumers are phoning less over traditional home lines.  

Despite disappointing fixed line business, mobile and internet divisions are booming with Telstra winning back previous losses to Optus and Vodafone, says Deutsche Bank analyst Andrew Anagnostellis. 

“Mobile is looking good for Telstra and it should look good because they have sunk a lot of money into it. That’s important because part of Telstra’s $1bn strategy was to get out there and grow market share. And they look like they have achieved that to some extent,” he told The Australian.

Revenues also look set to fall 0.7 per cent to $12.2bn. 

However, many analysts are keen to find out if their ‘Project New’, its  $1 billion bid to improve customer service and lure clients back into the Telstra fold will pay dividends, given its massive cost.

 

“Telstra has lost customers over the past year and in response to the erosion of our customer base we saw two strategic options,” the company said last year. 

“We could focus on maximising cash in the short-term, cut costs and continue to lose market share, or take a long-term view by investing in customer service, simplifying the business and competing effectively to retain and acquire customers.” 

Analysts also predict the Telco will again declare a fully franked interim dividend of 14c per share, in line with management objectives of a 28c dividend over a two year interm.

However, thats not all going on at the communications house.

This week may see the Telco finally confirm its $11 billion deal with
the NBN, according to the Australian Financial Review. 

The
Telco, due to announce its half year financial results this week, may
also outline its honourable intentions with the National Broadband
network, which needs its shareholder approval before it can get the go
ahead. 

 

Chiefs from both NBN and Telstra, Mike Quigley and David
Thodey were reported to have held a productive meeting last week
helping to finalise details of the selloff of the Telco’s copper fibre
network in return for broadband contracts and a large pay out.
           
Telstra,
who are to present shareholders with the NBN deal for approval this
June, are at risk of delaying the deal as bureaucracy gets in the way, analysts at
Goldman Sachs warned last week.

Vodafone Is Vodafail(ing), Say Consumers

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New website, Vodafail.com has been set up by disgruntled Vodafone customers in response to the litany of service issues users have been experiencing in recent weeks.As reported on Smarthouse earlier today, users who have been reported as experiencing ongoing problems with Vodafone’s mobile service, including call failures, slow data speeds and poor reception, are not necessarily entitled to end their contract, the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission said in a statement.

The ‘share your pain’ section of the newly established site contains comments such as “I live in North Sydney and yesterday (16th Dec) rang my wife twice while she (also a Vodafone user) was in a taxi coming in from the airport. Her phone rang through to voicemail but she never heard it ring and she was holding it in her hand. There is no way the Vodafone problems have been fixed.”

Others had less to say but it is clear that despite Vodafone’s claim to the contrary, the network problems still exist.

“One freaking hour on the phone to Vodafone AU WORST SERVICE EVER! I’ve been on hold for 45mins of them. They can’t fix my problem!,” said another Twitter feed on the site.

Both Vodafone’s branded Facebook and Twitter pages have also been flooded with complaints.

The telco attributed the recent problems to unstable software issues, which meant slower 3G data downloads.

Affected customers would be offered refunds, Vodafone chief technology officer Michael Young, said earlier this month.

Forget GST Harvey, Margins Our Big Worry: Dick Smith

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Forget the GST crisis Gerry Harvey – retailers have bigger fish to fry says its rival.

Competition and ever tighter margins are just some of the problems ailing Dick Smith and other major retailers, says Woolworths boss Mike Luscombe who also owns the electronics outfit and Big W. 

Larger margins retailers enjoyed for years is also a thing of the past thanks to the strong Aussie dollar and intense competition between retailers and pressures from online are all driving profits south, forcing year-round sales and ‘special offers’ in stores.    

Woolworths said that while BIG W had produced a solid EBIT for the first half it is expected to be down on last year, while the Dick Smith business is currently being re-positioned and old stores were not performing as well their new “transformation” stores, in a report issued to the ASX yesterday.        

”The Australian dollar means everything’s cheaper to buy,” he said announcing the sales figures for the company.  

”There is intense competition to sell those products in the Australian market place and that has driven prices down even further and it’s just meant that the profit that you made out of selling a TV is less than you made last year.

”The selling price is down by some 30 per cent. More and more they are only sold on special. There’s no doubt we are all finding it difficult to get that growth margin.”

And online is the in-place to be and its where the consumers at, says the self proclaimed techxpert, affording benefits in the back-room and at the till.      

 
”You don’t have to carry the stock. To sell one TV online you need one TV in stock but to sell one in 400 stores you need 400. 

So the mathematics of the working capital are far better. It’s the way that a lot of people want to shop.”

The chain are planning to unveil a web portal in a bid to lure even more consumers towards their e-store offering. 

Web sales has already proved a winning formula for Dick Smith who in August last reported a 116 percent jump in sales.        

He also admitted discount retailer Big W was feeling the pressure and further price reductions were necessary to drive sales. 

”We’re not getting the dollars out of customers.       

We are selling things much cheaper than last year, 6 or 7 per cent.”

YouTube Movie Service To Bite iTunes, Netflix

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Blockbuster won’t be pleased: Google’s video site is hooking up with Hollywood to build a movie rental business.


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The ‘broadcast yourself’ site, which gets eyeballed more than more than 2 billion times per day, is to morph into a serious competitor to iTunes, Amazon and video streaming site Netflix, in the movie rental business, which should be up and running next month, reports suggest.

And this is just its latest attempt to move away from amateur content, which has seen the media giant stream live events like Laneways Festival here in Australia and also shows independent movies, announced at Sundance film festival 2010.

The premium movie-on-demand service, will provide internet streaming of new releases starting at US$2 though prices will differ for each movie.

The film houses which YouTube are said to have signed licensing agreements with include Sony Pictures Entertainment, Warner Bros and Universal.

However, reports suggest further deals have been complicated by existing contracts between other Hollywood studios and streaming services like Netflix.

The Google owned video site has been veering this way for a while, and recently hired former Netflix boss Robert Kyncl as VP of TV and film entertainment as well as other execs from Universal and Paramount, so will be well versed in the workings of the industry.

Earlier this month, Kyncl hinted at such a move, saying “imagine if you had a video store on YouTube, where you could rent or buy the movie without being sent elsewhere.”

However, Aussie YouTube fans needn’t rush to the PC just yet – the service, when first launched, will be confined to the US for now.

Amazon’s new Instant Video service, offers thousands of new movies and 90,000 shows to buy or rent in HDTV as soon as they are released, but for a fee, although is free to its Prime members.

The movies cost $2.99 for a 3-day rental and $11.99 to buy the permanent viewing.

Are Optus Pulling A Fast One On 3G?

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Or not so fast as the case may be. It was tipped as “your own private and dedicated 3G coverage signal” but now it seems this service could be closer to a farcical rip off.
Analysts have come out in revolt against the newly launched 3G Home Zone from Optus, which runs on new Femtocell technology, claiming it is a ploy by the telco to force subscribers to inadvertently to pay for their own mobile network upgrades – something that the No. 2 telco should be doing – free of charge.

It’s “your own private and dedicated 3G coverage signal” and will boost indoor  wireless coverage, up to 30 metre range and will deliver better calls, data and broadband services, SingTel owned Optus claim.

The home zone device runs on femtocell technology, widely used in the US, acts as a wireless information gateway and uses the existing internet connection to improve mobile coverage, Optus says.

However, Telsyte telecommunications analyst, Foad Fadaghi, begs to differ, claiming Femtocells are frequently used by poor quality carriers that failed to invest adequately in their networks.

“While there are benefits for users not able to switch providers, I would be worried as a consumer if I cannot get mobile reception in my home or office from a carrier, thus needing to resort to Femtocells,” he warned.

“The real question is why Optus’s network needs these patches to help people use their mobiles in their homes and offices.”

And 3G Home Zone doesn’t come cheap either – it can be purchased outright for $240 or $60 -$180 depending on mobile rate plans, and a monthly payment of $5-$15 although the lower the plan value the pricier it is.

Telstra also agrees with the analysts assertion, with a spokesperson confirming “Femtocells are a means of compensating for poor coverage.”

 

Optus had  expressed hope of eating into its biggest rivals including Telstra’s fixed line share with the new technology.  

However, its only available in limited stores in Sydney, Wollongong Gold Coast and Brisbane, and is being run on a pilot basis, for now.

Read Optus Mobile ‘3G Zone’ To Bite Telstra? here

“We believe Femtocells are an important way of enhancing the customer experience of the Optus Open Network by acting as a wireless gateway into the home or office,” consumer marketing director Gavin Williams said.

BREAKING NEWS: Harvey Norman Moves Into Cosmetics

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The company who traditionally sell furniture, consumer electronics, and IT goods are now flogging children’s planes, garden beds and hammocks. Its Harvey’s as you’ve never seen them before, literally.


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The new site, which appears to have only one product page appears to have many of the products sold out.

Chairman Gerry Harvey has come a long way from his famous declaration “no one will ever make money selling online”  back in 1997 in the very early days of the internet.

This is also a very interesting change of heart by the retailing giant considering Harvey along with Myer, David Jones and 18 other mass market retailers, initiated an intense marketing campaign earlier this year aimed at pressuring the Federal Government to slap a 10% GST on Internet purchases made from overseas web sites, claiming they were losing business to foreign rivals.

Just days after pledging to go online with a trading site for its appliances and consumer electronics, the retailing giant has now opted for a slightly different tack.

The site, Harvey Norman Big Buys, offers a deal-a-day on cosmetics, garden plants and car seats and appears to be aimed at the female consumer.

And it’s not just the TV retailer that has gone through a transformation.

Harvey Norman will now give its customers a make over with today’s offer of a Revlon cosmetics pack for $53, which seems a bit steep, in my view, although it does include delivery. A similar deal was offered recently on dealme.com.au for $59.

Other deals to be had include a raised garden bed, at $88, which is already sold out, and a toy plane for $22. Tomorrow’s “big buy” is a Brother sewing machine. 

Just over a week ago, it emerged Harvey would be entering the dog eat dog world of online retailing.

“By this time next year you’ll see Harvey Norman with a pretty sizeable internet presence. My heart’s beating very strongly on whether we make any money out of it,” Chairman Gerry Harvey declared.

“I haven’t got any choice. I’ve got to cannibalise our stores.”

However, rival deal company ‘Catch of The Day’ has hit out against the electronics retailer’s move to group deals.

 
“(Gerry Harvey is) a late entrant into online retailing and his anti-online stance and lack of understanding as to how to run an e-commerce business does cast a shadow on the ongoing viability of the site, but good on him for having a go,” its founder Gabby Leibovich said in a statement.

Industry sources say it is a testing ground for a real Harvey Norman online site to come.

The website can be found at harveynormanbigbuys.com.au, and will come up against a slew of competitors who have joined this space in the past year or so, including Deals, Jump On It and Cudo.

Internode: Minister Wrong, NBN Still ‘Insane’

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ISP hits out at Minister after claims it failed to highlight its NBN misgivings to the ACCC.
It’s the latest NBN cat fight in what seems to be an endless round of squabbles plaguing the project – before it even gets off the ground.

Just last week, Internode MD Simon Hackett branded the NBN’s pricing model as “insane” for smaller ISP’s and claimed it would only be feasible for bigger players like itself, Telstra, Optus, TPG, iiNet – all ISPs with more than 250,000 customers.

However, following this, the Minister for Broadband and Communications Senator Conroy hit back saying this view was never aired to the ACCC.

 “The complaint being made by Internode is a very important contribution, and it would’ve been really fantastic for [it] it to have made that argument to the ACCC,” he told the ABC.

“They didn’t actually put in a submission to the ACCC’s inquiry on this very matter.”

Conroy also went on to say:”What essentially Internode are complaining about is that the ACCC decision to move from 14 POIs (Points of Interconnect) – the NBN’s preferred position — to 121 POIs, they believe was not the best decision.

The Adelaide based ISP says this is an “erroneous claim” and have offered to provide him with a copy of its ACCC submission from November 8- which is available on the latter’s website. 

In that seven-page submission, it warned about the anti-competitive impact of the NBN requiring companies to interconnect with the network at a large number of locations nationally.

 

“This model becomes worse if each access seeker or service provider must provide their own connection to the distant town,” the submission stated. 

“There is no economy of scale to be enjoyed and small service providers must either abandon the attempt to service subscribers or acquire a wholesale managed service from a POI more conveniently located.

It also warned the risk of duopoly amongst service providers which will result in rapid “increase in retail prices,” and the implosion of some other providers, the submission also warned.

Hackett today stated he hoped to encourage Senator Conroy to focus on this critical issue for the competitiveness of the Australian telecommunications industry “Internode absolutely has been ringing this bell early and often,” he said.

“Our submissions to the ACCC are on the public record, so it is rather curious that the Senator is perpetuating this erroneous claim about our conduct in this context.

“Internode has been providing public submissions on this and related topics at every step along the process concerned, and it remains of deep concern to us that those warnings are being ignored.

 

Indeed, it is this close participation that has served to highlight to us the critical nature of the flaws in the current pricing model for the network.”

This is not the only criticism of Stephen Conroy and the NBN in the last week.

The NBN has come in for heavy criticism from opposition communications spokesman, Malcolm Turnbull, a vocal critic of the $36bn NBN, has called on the communications minister to explain where the newly stalled NBN tenders leaves the project.

Read Turnbull Ups Pressure On NBN here

The NBN Co called a halt to tender negotiations with major contractors after claiming its pricing schemes were too high. 

Telstra, Internode Upgrades Defy NBN

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When in doubt, roll out. Two major telcos are going full steam ahead on broadband upgrades despite the national broadband rollout.


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Telstra’s upgrades, which are taking place in northern Tasmania, incidentally, just 30km from NBN test site of Scottsdale, the APP reports.

Upgrade of exchange points in Dilston and Bridport are being carried out in order for Telstra’s customers to upgrade to faster ADSL2+ broadband connections.

The NBN trial run of the broadband network has included Tasmanian hamlets of Midway Point Smithton, Scottsdale, the latter two of which have less than 2000 inhabitants and is currently rolling out cables at seven ‘stage 2’ sites there.

What is interesting is the telco appears to be oblivious to the competing optic fibre installation, going on since 2009, and could be either hedging its bets that the NBN may not go ahead or else bolstering its cable infrastructure to rival the national network.

The telco are also currently in the process of finalising a deal which will see all of its existing copper fibre network surrendered to the NBN Co, as part of a $9 billion deal.

“These are outside our current plans for the NBN,” said Michael Patterson, Telstra general manager for northern Tasmania area, insisting current demand was sufficient to warrant further investment in upgrades.

Patterson also insisted said there would be no overlap with the NBN.

 

What is also interesting about this is the take up of the first sites subject to NBN was said to have been poor at just 15 per cent, at the beginning of April.

So, whether the ADSL2+ offered by Telstra was sufficient to quench Tasmanians thirst for high speed internet or not is anyone’s guess.

And they’re not the only telco upgrading in the island state. Adelaide based Internode are also busy at work there, upgrading its DSLAM equipment at exchanges as are iiNet.

However, Internode insist it is still ‘business as usual’ and will take up to 10 years for the $36bn NBN to be up and running in full and is keeping its current business plan going in order to meet demand.

And its “DSLAM will run along the NBN, as planned,” in years to come an internode spokesperson told ChannelNews earlier today.

During the Senate hearing into the NBN Access Bill last March, several telcos including TPG argued against companies ‘cherry picking’ lucrative CBD areas rather than focusing on residential customers.

However, this does not now appear to be the case, since this tussle between ISPs for business is going on in rural Tasmania.

 

Under the rules decided under the Access Bill, competing companies to the national broadband provider can only lay similar optical fibres first only if they are similar to the national network.

Harvey Norman Trading ‘Difficult’ 1.4.% Rise

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Dull sales figures show growth of just 1.4 percent as cautious consumerism bites.Total global sales for all stores including Oz, NZ, Slovenia and Ireland totalled $4.7bn to the nine months ending 31 March 2011, it announced today. This reflects a 1.4 per cent rise.

However, Aussie stores did rise 3.0 per cent y-o-y, despite market conditions.

NZ and Ireland also showed similar slumps, dropping 3.1 and 14. per cent respectively, although perhaps surprisingly its Slovenia store enjoyed a 17.2 per cent sales hike.   

Its Australian stores continue to operate in “an extremely difficult environment,” the statement said.  Like for like sales actually fell 3.5 percent it also said, when compared to the same period in 2010.

While the TV market remains strong, price deflation, strong Aussie dollar and over cautious consumer sentiment has bitten the sector particular.

Meanwhile on the computer front things don’t look much better either, with the laptop category hit in particular. 

However, it’s not all flat and Harvey’s sales was buoyed by positive activity in in game consoles, cameras and smartphones, it said.

And, white goods, home and cooking appliances especially all experienced “significant market share” growth over the period.

 

And it is confident of “positive contributions from the gaming console, the digital SLR cameras and the smartphone categories, combined with the tablet computer market,” will see it through 2011.

Harvey Norman is “well positioned” to meet retail challenges it faces, it reassured investors.

Qtrax: New Oz Free Digital Music Service.. And Its Legal

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Australia’s newest free digital download offering has just been launched.And its looking to save the industry from pirates.
Set up by Melburnian, Allan Klepfisz, www.qtrax.com promises to provide music lovers access to a vast and diverse catalogue of digital music files available at  “lightning fast download speeds, high quality (and) absolutely no adware”.

Its user interface provides artist biographies, general info and discographies in a service that appears to be trying to bring the artist back to the listener.

Fans will be able to create playlists, send music recommendations to friends, and  allows social networking with other Qtrax users.

The revolutionary service, already available in the US, Canada and the UK, aims to stamp out piracy, which has plagued the industry in recent times with the onslaught of illegal music vendors.  

Klepfisz has signed a number of “significant licensing deals” with some of the major music labels and is aiming to create a “business model that directs money back to artists and rights holders.”

“This is the beginning of clawing back revenue for Australian artists from the arguably 90%+ of their earnings that have been lost to piracy.”

“Just register, log in and search, download and play music for free” the music provider commands and imposes no pre-conditions to downloading.

 

And he is confident he can build a profitable and valuable business, providing fans with access to a vast and diverse catalog of high-quality digital music files, for free.

Qtrax enables users to download and listen to music locally, which is a plus over music services streamed over the net, which can be subject to sound interruptions. 

“Australians both produce and consume music at a very high rate per capita, says Klepfisz, Qtrax President & CEO.

“Bringing back to Australia that which so many Australians clearly want is very satisfying.” And is one of the very first countries in this side of the world where the service has been launched.

Music is added to the catalogue on an ongoing basis, says Qtrax, which began its Asia Pacific rollout in 2009.

 

The company is a subsidiary of New York based Brilliant Technologies Corporation.