Panasonic will next month begin sampling what it claims is the first optical drive control chipset capable of writing to any recordable or re-writeable disc format. Well, all except HD DVD, that is.
David Richards
COMMENT: Why LG Needs To Sack Their CEO + Appoint A Local
LG Australia, to coin a phrase is in deep shit, and it is not the first time that the Korean Company has found itself defending their shocking marketing practises in the Australian Federal Court.
Clive Peeters Bleeds In NSW
Clive Peeters is set to report their half year results on the 27th February 2009 however analysts are tipping a net loss of $0.4M which represents a decline of 104%. Sales are believed to be down 16.3%.
Contributing to the losses is a major downturn in NSW with analysts tipping losses in this State to be between $1M and $3M.
One analyst writes in a briefing to vendors “We expect performance from NSW to be disappointing, with the tough trading environment, the large upfront marketing costs and the lack of brand traction to be the main contributor of the A$1.7m EBIT loss. We have assumed no interim dividend”.
They added “Losses in NSW – We expect losses in FY09 and FY10 of A$3m and A$1m, respectively. An update on conversion rates and a discussion of potential changes to store locations (closure of some poorly located stores, opening better located stores) is expected. A weak trading environment and store openings may put further constraints on cash flow.
Several vendors that ChannelNews has spoken to claim that they are waiting for the KPMG report into the operations of Clive Peeters.
LCD Screen Glut Coming
Major LCD manufacturers like LG.Philips, Samsung Electronics and a host of Taiwanese manufacturers may face a greater-than-expected glut of screens in the second half, according to US market researcher iSuppli.
Third-quarter supply of LCDs measuring at least 10in diagonally will exceed demand by 5 per cent, compared with an earlier forecast of a 3.8 per cent glut, according to a statement issued by iSuppli. Consumers are not buying as many large-screen LCD televisions as expected and there is an inventory build-up of panels used in computer monitors, it says.
iSuppli joins other analysts, including those at Macquarie Securities and CJ Investment and Securities, in saying producers in the $US35 billion ($46 billion) industry may have overestimated demand as higher oil prices threaten to keep consumers from buying televisions and computers.
The International Monetary Fund has cut its estimate for global economic growth and says risks are currently “slanted to the downside”. “There’s definitely an oversupply and intense competition,” says Nicholas Yeo, an investment manager at Singapore’s Aberdeen Asset Management, which manages $US12 billion including Samsung shares.
“LCD makers are seeing one of the shortest recoveries in the industry.” Higher oil prices, lower consumer confidence and slower economic growth may prevent second-half LCD sales from meeting earlier expectations, according to the research company.
Macquarie analyst Michael Bang has cut his stock recommendations on LCD makers including South Korea’s LG.Philips LCD and Hsinchu and Taiwan’s AU Optronics, the industry’s third-largest producer. Macquarie recommends investors switch to memory chip-makers such as Hynix Semiconductor, according to the market-research report.
Seoul’s CJ Investment cut its target price on LG.Philips LCD’s stock earlier this month, citing concern that panel prices may fall as demand growth slows. iSuppli also raised its oversupply projection for the fourth quarter to 6.2 per cent from an earlier 4.2 per cent estimate.
Shares of the world’s top-six LCD makers, all based in Asia, fell. Not all analysts agree with iSuppli and Macquarie’s view. “Inventory levels remain stable and LCD TV demand could emerge sooner than expected,” Citigroup’s Taipei-based analyst George Chang says in a report issued last week.
“We expect their shipments to continue to grow, driven by seasonal strength in the near term.”
Chang maintained his “buy” rating on panel makers. Samsung, Asia’s largest electronics maker by market value, has become more optimistic on the LCD business.
The company raised its shipment forecasts for the industry by 6.7 per cent, citing higher-than-expected demand for panels used in televisions and computers, Samsung’s head of investor relations Chu Woo Sik says. Samsung expects global shipments of LCD panels measuring at least 10 inches diagonally to rise 46 per cent to 191 million units this year from 131 million last year, Chu says. Shipments for 2006 are expected to increase 24 per cent to 236 million units, he says.
E3 Style Up For Sale As Legal Fights Eats Into Profits
E3 the Brisbane based distributor who is embroiled in several legal cases is up for sale.
B&O Appoints New CEO As Company Sinks Into A Hole
Financially strapped Hi Fi Company Bang & Olufsen, who has not made a full year profit for three years, has appointed a new CEO, the move comes days after the opening of a new flagship store in Melbourne.
Dell Moves To AMD
Dell has contracted three Taiwanese manufacturers to supply it with PCs based on AMD processors, the Asian press has claimed.
According to Chinese Language newspaper Economic Daily News this past weekend, Asus, Quanta and Hon Hai Precision (aka Foxconn) are all developing AMD-based systems for Dell. Their specialisms suggest the PC giant is buying desktops, notebooks and servers, respectively.Dell has traditionally been an Intel-only house, and is the only major Wintel systems vendor to hold out against AMD. Some observers claim Intel makes it worth Dell’s while, but Dell is canny enough to play the two chip makers off against each other to ensure it always gets the most favourable terms.
Every so often, Dell drops hints it might launch AMD-based systems, much to the joy of AMD fanboys, but somehow never quite manages to do so. This month it began selling boxed AMD processors, seen by some as a change of heart – or a bulwark against any fall-out from AMD’s legal challenge to Intel. AMD accuses its arch-rival of deliberately attempting to harm its business, a charge Intel refutes.
And of course Intel now has a second exclusive customer: Apple. The Mac maker’s decision to turn to Intel for its x86 chips could be seen to weaken Dell’s bargaining position, though in reality the scale of its processor purchasing activity dwarfs Apple’s.
EXCLUSIVE: Harvey Norman To Distribute Monster + Solo 3DR Drone
Ariston a Company that is 60% owned by Harvey Norman in Australia, is set to distribute the Monster brand along with the Solo 3DR drone.
Currently the Solo 3DR is being sold by specialist dealers
in Australia, it was also set to be sold via other mass retailers stores.
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Meanwhile he Monster brand has seen sales slump in Australia, last
year JB Hi Fi dropped the Monster headphone brand while sales of the Companies
electrical and cable products are believed to have halved during the past 18
months.
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EXCLUSIVE:Fighting Breaks Out Between Management At Dick Smith As Sales Slump
Fighting has broken out between management at Dick Smith after store staff accused the Companies online team of “cannibalising store sales.
Games Market Set To Crash
The games software market is set to decline by as much as 20% a leading analyst has forcast.
SG Cowen & Co. analyst Lowell Singer in the USA has forecasted a 20% decline in video game software sales during the 2004-2006 console transition, and a 4% decline in 2006 alone.
Electronic Arts, Activision, and THQ have all guided to software sales that are flat to down 5% for 2006, whereas previously, the consensus expectations were for “at least a modest” sales gain year-over-year, the analyst wrote in a report.
The analyst cited a “slower-than-expected growth in the installed base of next-generation hardware,” as a reason for the softness in software sales. For instance, Sony (nyse: SNE – news – people ) won’t be releasing the new PlayStation 3 console until late 2006 at the earliest.
Lowell also cited certain secular risks over the longer-term that could be exacerbating the slowing of sales including a console transition that is “far worse” than the last transition in 1999 to 2001. The analyst also cited an increase in online video game play and criticism of a lack of creativity in the gaming industry, with “no Halo or Grand Theft Auto-type blowout titles launched in 2005.” The analyst said he still recommends Activision shares. “We believe that Activision’s focus on building high-quality franchises, sustaining above-average operating margins and ROIC, and aggressively participating in the expanding handheld market have positioned the company for industry-leading growth and market share gains throughout the next-generation console cycle.”
His view on Electronic Arts is neutral based on valuation, despite the fact that he sees the company as “the best-run company among the third-party publishers.”The analyst’s view on Take-Two Interactive Software is also neutral. Noting that there are investment positives on the stock, he also listed key concerns in game quality, the company’s “extreme reliance” on Grand Theft Auto as a driver for earnings, low ROIC and the company’s historically poor internal controls.
Singer also said he views THQ as neutral saying that its growth depends heavily on the average game quality of its new titles for Microsoft’s Xbox 360. “Although we believe that the video game stocks could be volatile over the next few months due to the ongoing console transition, we continue to have a positive long-term view on the group,” the research analyst said.

